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Nomura Forecast: Overvalued Dollar Set to Weaken Further, End-2026 USD/JPY Forecast 130
The US dollar to yen exchange rate (USD/JPY) surged to a seven-week best just above 148.50 in mid-May before fresh losses to around 144.0 at month-end. Nomura expects that the dollar will post further losses over the medium term while the yen will be resilient in global markets.
Date:
31.05.2025 |
Source:
exchangerates.org.uk
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Quotes
| Instrument | Price | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | 1.136150 | +0.094813% |
| GBPUSD | 1.348150 | +0.19855% |
| USDJPY | 143.553000 | -0.32495% |
| XAUUSD | 3310.155000 | +0.63586% |
| USDCAD | 1.372440 | -0.11354% |
| NZDUSD | 0.599060 | +0.47434% |
| USDCHF | 0.822480 | +0.087617% |
| AUDUSD | 0.644850 | +0.22903% |
| EURGBP | 0.842670 | -0.079446% |
| EURJPY | 163.091000 | -0.23246% |
| GBPJPY | 193.528000 | -0.15529% |
| AUDJPY | 92.564000 | -0.090666% |
| CADJPY | 104.588000 | -0.22038% |
| CHFJPY | 174.521000 | -0.35286% |
| NZDJPY | 86.004000 | +0.13446% |
| GBPCHF | 1.108850 | +0.23684% |
| EURCHF | 0.934370 | +0.15972% |
| USDMXN | 19.420000 | +0.046363% |
| USDZAR | 17.974400 | -0.098932% |
| USDTRY | 39.231180 | +0.026287% |
| USDRUB | 76.985000 | -0.50404% |
| USDSEK | 9.578840 | +0.003549% |
| USDCNY | 7.197500 | -0.015281% |
Upcoming Important Events
| Time | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.06.2025 | ||||
| 06:30 | 🇨🇭 | Retail Sales MoM (Apr) | 1 | 0.6 |
| 06:30 | 🇨🇭 | Retail Sales YoY (Apr) | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| 07:15 | HCOB Manufacturing PMI (May) | 48.4 | 48.1 | |
| 07:30 | 🇨🇭 | procure.ch Manufacturing PMI (May) | 46.5 | 45.8 |
| 07:30 | Unemployment Rate (May) | 7.1 | 7.3 | |
| 07:40 | Unemployment Rate (May) | 7.3 | ||
| 07:45 | HCOB Manufacturing PMI (May) | 49.6 | 49.3 | |
| 07:50 | 🇫🇷 | HCOB Manufacturing PMI (May) | 49.5 | 48.7 |
| 07:55 | 🇩🇪 | HCOB Manufacturing PMI (May) | 48.8 | 48.4 |
| 08:00 | 🇪🇺 | HCOB Manufacturing PMI (May) | 49.4 | 49 |