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EUR/USD forecast: oil shock and Middle East tensions continue to weigh
The EUR/USD forecast remains bearish as geopolitical tensions intensify and crude oil prices surge. Markets reacted after Mojtaba Khamenei confirmed that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz could remain in place as a strategic tool against adversaries.
Date:
12.03.2026 |
Source:
forex.com
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Quotes
| Instrument | Price | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | 1.151540 | -0.4461% |
| GBPUSD | 1.334440 | -0.49438% |
| USDJPY | 159.420000 | +0.33483% |
| XAUUSD | 5083.845000 | -1.78954% |
| USDCAD | 1.362450 | +0.2369% |
| NZDUSD | 0.585380 | -1.00118% |
| USDCHF | 0.785650 | +0.69854% |
| AUDUSD | 0.708000 | -0.99148% |
| EURGBP | 0.862900 | +0.08467% |
| EURJPY | 183.574000 | -0.095239% |
| GBPJPY | 212.740000 | -0.16191% |
| AUDJPY | 112.870000 | -0.63561% |
| CADJPY | 117.026000 | +0.13691% |
| CHFJPY | 202.902000 | -0.38833% |
| NZDJPY | 93.317000 | -0.64098% |
| GBPCHF | 1.048390 | +0.23328% |
| EURCHF | 0.904690 | +0.29823% |
| USDMXN | 17.825100 | +1.04445% |
| USDZAR | 16.786070 | +1.89679% |
| USDTRY | 44.110500 | +0.060113% |
| USDRUB | 79.497100 | +0.45123% |
| USDSEK | 9.354550 | +1.52221% |
| USDCNY | 6.868900 | +0.05681% |
Upcoming Important Events
| Time | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.03.2026 | ||||
| 07:00 | 🇬🇧 | Gross Domestic Product MoM (Jan) | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 11:30 | 🇺🇸 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q3) | 1.4 | 4.3 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Core PCE Price Index MoM (Jan) | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Durable Goods Orders MoM (Jan) | 0.3 | -1.4 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q4) | 1.4 | 4.4 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q3) | 1.4 | 4.3 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q4) | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Personal Income MoM (Jan) | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Personal Spending MoM (Jan) | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| 12:30 | 🇨🇦 | Unemployment Rate (Feb) | 6.7 | 6.5 |