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US Dollar Forecast: Tariff Refunds and Inflation Drive USDJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD

Tariff refunds may ease pressure on U.S. businesses and households, but weak growth, lower savings, and sticky inflation keep the U.S. dollar outlook uncertain across USDJPY, EURUSD, and GBPUSD.
Date: 30.05.2026  |  Source: fxempire.com
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Quotes

Instrument Price Change (%)
EURUSD 1.166120 +0.098964%
GBPUSD 1.345550 +0.088409%
USDJPY 159.255000 +0.023867%
XAUUSD 4542.469480 +1.03751%
USDCAD 1.379620 +0.098725%
NZDUSD 0.599020 +0.94328%
USDCHF 0.779700 -0.50278%
AUDUSD 0.718600 +0.33052%
EURGBP 0.866650 +0.025671%
EURJPY 185.749940 +0.16174%
GBPJPY 214.330380 +0.16936%
AUDJPY 114.408000 +0.37022%
CADJPY 115.423000 -0.027716%
CHFJPY 204.010000 +0.37292%
NZDJPY 95.375000 +0.95444%
GBPCHF 1.051140 -0.19125%
EURCHF 0.910970 -0.22459%
USDMXN 17.353420 +0.3262%
USDZAR 16.235000 -0.099685%
USDTRY 45.855810 -0.03093%
USDRUB 70.925000 -0.2321%
USDSEK 9.245070 -0.023903%
USDCNY 6.769880 -0.13594%

Upcoming Important Events

Time Country Event Forecast Previous
31.05.2026
01:30 NBS Manufacturing PMI (May) 50 50.3
01.06.2026
01:45 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May) 51.4 52.2
14:00 🇺🇸 ISM Manufacturing PMI (May) 52.6 52.7
02.06.2026
14:00 🇺🇸 JOLTs Job Openings (Apr) 6.87 6.866
03.06.2026
01:30 🇦🇺 GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1) 0.5 0.8
14:00 🇺🇸 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (May) 53.8 53.6
14:00 🇺🇸 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (May) 70.7
14:00 🇺🇸 ISM Services PMI (May) 53.6 53.6
04.06.2026
01:30 🇦🇺 Balance of Trade (Apr) -1.61 -1.841
05.06.2026
10:30 GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q1) 7.3 7.8