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EUR/USD outlook: Dollar strength may have further to run as Warsh reinforces the Fed's message
The EUR/USD outlook remains modestly bearish, even if the US dollar has eased off its earlier highs following Kevin Warsh's speech a few moments ago where he offered no major surprises. Investors will likely continue to favour the US dollar as investors digest a Federal Reserve that appears determined to keep inflation under control, even as financial markets continue to debate the timing of the next policy move.
Date:
01.07.2026 |
Source:
forex.com
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Quotes
| Instrument | Price | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | 1.137680 | -0.43025% |
| GBPUSD | 1.327250 | +0.10937% |
| USDJPY | 162.569000 | +0.012919% |
| XAUUSD | 4063.570000 | +1.39849% |
| USDCAD | 1.421670 | +0.15358% |
| NZDUSD | 0.567090 | -0.16948% |
| USDCHF | 0.809380 | +0.20676% |
| AUDUSD | 0.689380 | -0.39148% |
| EURGBP | 0.857120 | -0.45295% |
| EURJPY | 184.953000 | -0.36041% |
| GBPJPY | 215.766000 | +0.12483% |
| AUDJPY | 112.074000 | -0.26785% |
| CADJPY | 114.347000 | -0.11792% |
| CHFJPY | 200.855000 | -0.15609% |
| NZDJPY | 92.196000 | -0.068286% |
| GBPCHF | 1.074210 | +0.28942% |
| EURCHF | 0.920790 | -0.21782% |
| USDMXN | 17.560000 | +0.48641% |
| USDZAR | 16.415600 | +0.27611% |
| USDTRY | 46.659700 | +0.034088% |
| USDRUB | 77.501400 | -1.52% |
| USDSEK | 9.730520 | +0.36513% |
| USDCNY | 6.778700 | -0.086961% |
Upcoming Important Events
| Time | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.07.2026 | ||||
| 01:30 | 🇦🇺 | Balance of Trade (May) | 2.2 | 1.791 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Non Farm Payrolls (Jun) | 110 | 172 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Unemployment Rate (Jun) | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| 06.07.2026 | ||||
| 14:00 | 🇺🇸 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) | 54.5 | |
| 14:00 | 🇺🇸 | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) | 71.3 | |
| 14:00 | 🇺🇸 | ISM Services PMI (Jun) | 54 | 54.5 |
| 07.07.2026 | ||||
| 14:00 | 🇨🇦 | Ivey PMI (Jun) | 50 | 58.2 |
| 08.07.2026 | ||||
| 18:00 | 🇺🇸 | FOMC Minutes | ||
| 09.07.2026 | ||||
| 01:30 | Inflation Rate YoY (Jun) | 1.2 | 1.2 | |
| 14:00 | 🇺🇸 | Existing Home Sales (Jun) | 4.07 | 4.17 |