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Canadian Dollar Technical Outlook- USD/CAD Bulls Face Their Biggest Test

Canadian dollar technical outlook is approaching a decisive breakout as USD/CAD tests major resistance after six consecutive weeks of gains. Michael Boutros, Senior Market Analyst at FOREX.com, explains the key technical levels to watch, why 1.4239 is the critical breakout zone, and how this week's FOMC minutes and Canadian employment report could determine the next major move for the pair.
Date: 07.07.2026  |  Source: forex.com
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Quotes

Instrument Price Change (%)
EURUSD 1.142860 -0.15975%
GBPUSD 1.337460 -0.099343%
USDJPY 161.876000 -0.1197%
XAUUSD 4144.360000 -0.49831%
USDCAD 1.418610 -0.11688%
NZDUSD 0.569110 -0.18948%
USDCHF 0.806610 +0.24731%
AUDUSD 0.694220 -0.23364%
EURGBP 0.854450 -0.017552%
EURJPY 185.006000 -0.23942%
GBPJPY 216.508000 -0.19453%
AUDJPY 112.372000 -0.27865%
CADJPY 114.103000 +0.060508%
CHFJPY 200.668000 -0.31495%
NZDJPY 92.115000 -0.26743%
GBPCHF 1.078770 +0.11787%
EURCHF 0.921850 +0.11729%
USDMXN 17.491100 +0.72617%
USDZAR 16.238500 +0.27244%
USDTRY 46.828300 +0.022427%
USDRUB 76.440000 -0.70909%
USDSEK 9.664150 +0.55343%
USDCNY 6.783700 -0.02358%

Upcoming Important Events

Time Country Event Forecast Previous
08.07.2026
18:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Minutes
09.07.2026
01:30 Inflation Rate YoY (Jun) 1.1 1.2
14:00 🇺🇸 Existing Home Sales (Jun) 4.2 4.17
10.07.2026
12:30 🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate (Jun) 6.6 6.6
14.07.2026
00:30 🇦🇺 Westpac Consumer Confidence Change (Jul) 2.5 -2.9
01:30 🇦🇺 NAB Business Confidence (Jun) -12 -14
03:00 Balance of Trade (Jun) 110 105.43
03:00 Exports YoY (Jun) 19.4
03:00 Imports YoY (Jun) 27.4
12:30 🇺🇸 Core CPI MoM (Jun) 0.2