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EUR/USD Outlook: Dollar Direction Hinges on ADP, ISM, and Tariff Deliberations
EUR/USD could see near-term strength as markets weigh Treasury curve moves, Fed policy expectations, and Supreme Court developments. The euro may get a lift unless U.S. data prints stronger than expected, which could reduce the chances of a December Fed rate cut and push the dollar higher.
Date:
05.11.2025 |
Source:
forex.com
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Quotes
| Instrument | Price | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | 1.138300 | +0.010543% |
| GBPUSD | 1.320290 | -0.003787% |
| USDJPY | 161.564000 | +0.029718% |
| XAUUSD | 4097.155000 | -0.3306% |
| USDCAD | 1.420820 | -0.008445% |
| NZDUSD | 0.566580 | -0.007059% |
| USDCHF | 0.809370 | +0.18319% |
| AUDUSD | 0.691540 | -0.011567% |
| EURGBP | 0.862080 | +0.011601% |
| EURJPY | 183.898000 | +0.029373% |
| GBPJPY | 213.309000 | +0.037049% |
| AUDJPY | 111.723000 | -0.006265% |
| CADJPY | 113.712000 | +0.018471% |
| CHFJPY | 199.590000 | +0.032577% |
| NZDJPY | 91.537000 | -0.03713% |
| GBPCHF | 1.068550 | +0.003744% |
| EURCHF | 0.921340 | -0.047734% |
| USDMXN | 17.548100 | +1.09517% |
| USDZAR | 16.533700 | +0.96177% |
| USDTRY | 46.469800 | +0.00495% |
| USDRUB | 74.491700 | -0.092944% |
| USDSEK | 9.728180 | +1.24999% |
| USDCNY | 6.789500 | +0% |
Upcoming Important Events
| Time | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.06.2026 | ||||
| 08:00 | 🇩🇪 | Ifo Business Climate (Jun) | 85.6 | 84.9 |
| 25.06.2026 | ||||
| 06:00 | 🇩🇪 | Consumer Confidence (Jul) | -27.5 | -29.8 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Core PCE Price Index MoM (May) | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Durable Goods Orders MoM (May) | -4.3 | 7.9 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Personal Income MoM (May) | 0.4 | 0 |
| 12:30 | 🇺🇸 | Personal Spending MoM (May) | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 30.06.2026 | ||||
| 01:30 | NBS Manufacturing PMI (Jun) | 50.3 | 50 | |
| 01:30 | 🇦🇺 | RBA Meeting Minutes | ||
| 06:00 | 🇬🇧 | Gross Domestic Product YoY (Q1) | 1.1 | |
| 06:45 | 🇫🇷 | Inflation Rate YoY (Jun) | 2.4 | 2.4 |