Gold Price Bounces on Positive News but Key Barrier Still Holds; US Labor Data in Focus

Gold price jumped on Wednesday (up 2.2% until early US session) following another failure at strong $4000 support (metal failed to register clear break below this level in six consecutive attempts.

Date: 01.07.2026 | Source: actionforex.com

Silver rebounds above $60 as softer US data, Warsh remarks weigh on the US Dollar

Silver rebounds above $60 as softer US data, Warsh remarks weigh on the US Dollar

Date: 01.07.2026 | Source: fxstreet.com

ECB's Kaasik Expects Long-Term Oil Price Impact from War

ECB official Kaasik has indicated that the ongoing war is expected to have a lasting impact on oil prices. This outlook suggests potential implications for energy markets and broader economic conditions.

Date: 01.07.2026 | Source: FOR-EX.NEWS

ECB's Kaasik Expects Wage Clarity in Autumn

European Central Bank's Kaasik indicates that clearer insights into wage developments are anticipated in the autumn. This information is crucial for assessing inflation and monetary policy decisions.

Date: 01.07.2026 | Source: FOR-EX.NEWS

Swiss Franc Technical Outlook: USD/CHF Testing Major Breakout Level

USD/CHF technical analysis takes center stage as Michael Boutros, FOREX.com Senior Market Analyst, explains why the pair is testing a major multi-year resistance zone just ahead of key U.S. employment data. He outlines the critical technical levels, support and resistance zones, and why the Non-Farm Payrolls report could determine whether USD/CHF confirms a fresh bullish breakout or reverses from a major inflection point.

Date: 01.07.2026 | Source: forex.com

ECB's Kaasik Expects Another Interest Rate Hike

ECB board member Madis Kaasik has indicated that another interest rate increase is a reasonable expectation in the near future. This signals the ECB's continued commitment to tightening monetary policy to address inflation concerns.

Date: 01.07.2026 | Source: FOR-EX.NEWS

EUR/USD outlook: Dollar strength may have further to run as Warsh reinforces the Fed's message

The EUR/USD outlook remains modestly bearish, even if the US dollar has eased off its earlier highs following Kevin Warsh's speech a few moments ago where he offered no major surprises. Investors will likely continue to favour the US dollar as investors digest a Federal Reserve that appears determined to keep inflation under control, even as financial markets continue to debate the timing of the next policy move.

Date: 01.07.2026 | Source: forex.com

Traders Scale Back Expectations for BOE Rate Hikes to 20 Basis Points by Year-End

Market participants have lowered their expectations for Bank of England interest rate increases, anticipating only a 20 basis point hike by the end of the year. This shift reflects a more cautious outlook on future monetary tightening by the BOE.

Date: 01.07.2026 | Source: FOR-EX.NEWS

Warsh Affirms Federal Reserve's Independence Post Supreme Court Ruling

Kevin Warsh stated that the Federal Reserve will maintain its independence despite the recent Supreme Court decision. This reassurance aims to uphold confidence in the central bank's autonomous policy-making.

Date: 01.07.2026 | Source: FOR-EX.NEWS

Warsh States Balance Sheet Approaches Fiscal Policy Territory

Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh suggests that the central bank's balance sheet expansion is nearing the scope of fiscal policy, highlighting concerns over the blurring lines between monetary and fiscal actions. This perspective raises questions about the future role and limits of central bank interventions.

Date: 01.07.2026 | Source: FOR-EX.NEWS

Quotes

Instrument Price Change (%)
EURUSD 1.138030 -0.39962%
GBPUSD 1.328260 +0.18555%
USDJPY 162.444000 -0.063981%
XAUUSD 4072.930000 +1.63205%
USDCAD 1.421020 +0.10779%
NZDUSD 0.567670 -0.067373%
USDCHF 0.808720 +0.12504%
AUDUSD 0.690000 -0.3019%
EURGBP 0.856710 -0.50057%
EURJPY 184.872000 -0.40405%
GBPJPY 215.778000 +0.1304%
AUDJPY 112.090000 -0.25362%
CADJPY 114.318000 -0.14325%
CHFJPY 200.861000 -0.15311%
NZDJPY 92.216000 -0.046608%
GBPCHF 1.074200 +0.28849%
EURCHF 0.920340 -0.26658%
USDMXN 17.540700 +0.37597%
USDZAR 16.401900 +0.19242%
USDTRY 46.662500 +0.040091%
USDRUB 77.496000 -1.52686%
USDSEK 9.720710 +0.26395%
USDCNY 6.778500 -0.089914%

Upcoming Important Events

Time Country Event Forecast Previous
02.07.2026
01:30 🇦🇺 Balance of Trade (May) 2.2 1.791
12:30 🇺🇸 Non Farm Payrolls (Jun) 110 172
12:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate (Jun) 4.3 4.3
06.07.2026
14:00 🇺🇸 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) 54.5
14:00 🇺🇸 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) 71.3
14:00 🇺🇸 ISM Services PMI (Jun) 54 54.5
07.07.2026
14:00 🇨🇦 Ivey PMI (Jun) 50 58.2
08.07.2026
18:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Minutes
09.07.2026
01:30 Inflation Rate YoY (Jun) 1.2 1.2
06:00 🇩🇪 Balance of Trade (May) 16 14.5